Cyber security: recession proof?

BY Richard Summerfield

Amid ongoing economic and geopolitical challenges, the cyber security sector remains strong, according to a new report from ICON Corporate Finance.

Thus far, the sector is proving recession-proof and remains a growth area, defying current troubling macroeconomic headwinds. As such, the cyber security sector is leading the way for M&A and fundraising activity in 2022, with deal activity for Q1-Q3 up 60 percent compared to 2020 for M&A and up 22 percent for fundraising.

The report notes that going forward, enterprises must recognise that they must continue investing in cyber defences regardless to protect against an increasingly sophisticated threat landscape, and because of significant geopolitical and economic uncertainty. This, in turn, is acting as a catalyst for M&A and fundraising deal activity.

According to ICON, the first three quarters of 2022 saw 353 cyber security M&A deals, with a total value of $125bn. As a result, the sector is on track to surpass pre-coronavirus (COVID-19) levels. With vendor platform consolidation, largely backed by private equity, being a chief driver behind the sustained deal activity.

Fundraising activity also remained in line with long-term trends, with $15.4bn of venture capital money invested in the sector globally across 572 deals in the first three quarters of the year.

“Enterprises recognise that they must continue hardening their security defences to keep above water in the arms race between good and bad,” said Florian Depner, director of ICON Corporate Finance. “Cybersecurity is mission-critical and companies have no choice but to keep investing given the uplift in malicious activity, and state-backed attacks.

“We also anticipate that Private Equity will continue injecting much-needed growth fuel into later-stage scale-up companies; a trend demonstrated by the BlackRock-backed $250m (£221.7m) investment in Swiss-based storage management and personal backup services provider Acronis.

“These factors, combined with Private Equity backing buy-and-build strategies and vendor platform consolidation, and the fact that the three-year cyber security index for public sector stocks rose 61.5%, while NASDAQ rose just 35.5%, makes cybersecurity players undeniably desirable.”

Going forward, ICON predicts that consolidation will continue at pace as trade and PE acquirers are ready to capitalise on market opportunities.

Report: Cybersecurity Sector Update – Q3 2022

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