Global M&A activity down 18 percent in 2016 says new review

BY Fraser Tennant

The volume of global mergers & acquisitions (M&A) activity in 2016 fell 18 percent from the record high seen in 2015, according to a review published this week by Dealogic.

Moreover, the fall – from $4.66 trillion in 2015 to $3.84 trillion in 2016 – followed three consecutive year-on-year increases. And while volume fell 18 percent, M&A revenue was down by only 2 percent.

Among the key M&A trends and developments highlighted by Dealogic are: (i) cross-border M&A activity being down 3 percent globally year-on-year; (ii) China outbound volume hitting a record high of $225.4bn; (iii) US inbound M&A also hit a record high, with a total of $486.3bn; (iv) 4Q global M&A hitting the $1 trillion mark in the first week of December, the biggest quarter since 4Q 2015 and only the tenth time that quarterly volume has surpassed the trillion mark.

Looking to M&A volume in Europe, targeted M&A of $903.1bn was down 13 percent from the $1.03 trillion announced in 2015 – the lowest total since 2013 ($760.3bn). Among the notable deals in the region was the $47bn pending bid by Qualcomm for NXP Semiconductors (announced in October 2016), the biggest US acquisition of a European company on record.

Towards the end of the year (October 2016) there was a late surge in big deals, with five transactions announced worth $20bn or more. Topping the list was AT&T’s $107.9bn bid for Time Warner (announced on 22 October), the seventh largest M&A transaction on record and the biggest deal announced in 2016. In second place was Bayer’s $66.3bn acquisition of Monsanto. Overall, October 2016 saw a record monthly high of $600.8bn.  

Like 2015, technology was once again the top sector (for only the second time on record) with a total of $612.9bn in 2016, short of the record high of $691.4bn the previous year. And for the first time since 2012, healthcare M&A activity fell outside the top three, ranking fourth for global M&A volume, with $320.9bn.

Goldman Sachs led the global M&A volume ranking with $970.4bn, followed by Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan with $866.0bn and $823bn respectively. Goldman Sachs also topped the global M&A revenue ranking with a 10.1 percent wallet share.

Finally, in terms of withdrawn transactions, M&A volume of $837.3bn in 2016 was the highest since 2008 ($948.5bn), with the years seeing two of the top five $100bn-plus withdrawn deals on record. These were Pfizer’s $160bn bid for Allergan (withdrawn in April 2016) and Honeywell International’s $102.8bn bid for United Technologies (withdrawn in March 2016).

Report: Dealogic – Global M&A Review: Full Year 2016

Chinese dealmaking to defy regulatory scrutiny

BY Richard Summerfield

The Chinese economy has been in a state of flux in recent years. With the national economy being retooled and Chinese firms looking overseas for merger and acquisition opportunities, one could be forgiven for thinking that dealmaking activity within the country would be waning.

However, a new report from A.M. Best,'Chinese Mergers & Acquisitions Activity Continues Amid Evolving Regulatory and Policy Environment', suggests that activity in the country will continue, despite a number of challenges. Though activity may slow in the coming year due to an uncertain economic outlook and evolving government policies in China and overseas markets, dealmaking will continue regardless.

“The number of both outbound and domestic deals is expected to continue to grow, although depreciation pressure on the yuan and eroding foreign currency reserves may cause some downside impact on outbound deals,” notes the report.

Dealmaking in overseas real estate has proved particularly attractive to Chinese acquirers in recent years. While private enterprises have been active in jurisdictions including the US, Europe and South Korea, state owned enterprises have also begun to pursue overseas deals.

With  more Chinese firms pursuing overseas opportunities, regulatory challenges will need to be overcome, particularly for those active in the US. Accordingly, the report warns Chinese acquirers to be mindful of complying with extensive regulations. It highlights Anbang’s withdrawal of its application for approval for its Fidelity & Guaranty Life deal as a key example of the increased regulatory scrutiny facing Chinese firms. In 2016, Anbang’s deal for Fidelity collapsed after New York regulators required additional information on the deal’s funding and shareholder structure.

The report also highlights Anbang’s aborted $14bn bid for Starwood Hotels & Resort Worldwide Inc., as well as Fosun’s unsuccessful purchase agreement for Israeli insurer Phoenix Holdings Ltd as examples of outbound Chinese deals which collapsed under regulatory scrutiny.

Though 2017 will likely see Chinese firms encounter more regulatory difficulty, dealmaking is set to continue. That said, depreciation pressure on the yuan and the eroding of foreign currency reserves may have an impact on outbound deals.

Report: Chinese Mergers & Acquisitions Activity Continues Amid Evolving Regulatory and Policy Environment

Linde and Praxair announce $65bn merger

BY Richard Summerfield

Multinational chemical company Linde AG and US rival Praxair, Inc have announced a $65bn merger of equals via an all-stock transaction. Under the terms of the merger, existing Linde and Praxair shareholders would each own about 50 percent of the newly combined company, according to a joint statement announcing the deal.

Merger talks between the two companies had collapsed earlier this year; however they were revived following the dismissal of Linde’s finance director Georg Denoke. The merger, like many of the industry consolidation deals announce in 2016, is expected to encounter some tough regulatory scrutiny.

The two companies have pursued a merger in order to create a new industry leader from two regional giants. Linde’s business focuses primarily on Europe and Asia, while Praxair is more dominant in the US and Latin America. Linde is currently the industry’s second biggest specialty gas provider; Praxair is the third biggest. According to data from the companies, a combined Linde-Praxair combination would generate around $30bn in annual sales before divestitures.

The companies have also identified considerable cost savings as being a key driver behind the deal, targeting annual cost savings of around $1bn.

"The strategic combination between Linde and Praxair would leverage the complementary strengths of each across a larger global footprint and create a more resilient portfolio with increased exposure to long-term macro growth trends," said Steve Angel, Praxair’s chairman and chief executive. "We consider this to be a true strategic merger, as it brings together the capabilities, talented people and best-in-class processes of both companies, creating a unique and compelling opportunity for all of our stakeholders."

"Under the Linde brand, we want to combine our companies’ business and technology capabilities and form a global industrial gas leader. Beyond the strategic fit, the compelling, value-creating combination would achieve a robust balance sheet and cash flow and generate financial flexibility to invest in our future," said Professor Dr. Aldo Belloni, chief executive of Linde.

Mr Angel will become chief executive of the new company. Linde’s chairman Wolfgang Reitzle will continue in that role. The new board will have equal representation from both companies.

News: Linde, Praxair agree $65 billion merger outline, ambitious cost savings

Unicredit unit sold to Amundi

BY Richard Summerfield

Italy’s biggest bank, UniCredit SpA, has announced that it is to sell asset manager Pioneer to French fund management firm Amundi in a deal worth $3.75bn.

According to the terms of the deal, Amundi will finance the acquisition through a combination of a €1.4bn capital increase, around €600m of senior subordinated debt and about €1.5bn in existing capital. UniCredit will also receive an extraordinary dividend of €315m from Pioneer before the deal is completed. The dividend will take the total value of the transaction to around $4.10bn. The deal is expected to close in the first half of 2017.

"Thanks to a long term distribution agreement, UniCredit's customers will have access to an extended range of quality products and services whilst the Group will reap the benefit of additional fee income from expected increased sales," UniCredit chief executive Jean Pierre Mustier said in a statement. "The transaction means Italy becomes Amundi's second largest domestic market and Amundi will turn Milan into one of its core investment hubs, creating new jobs and ensuring close proximity to UniCredit, our teams and clients."

The sale of the Amundi unit is the latest in a series of moves by UniCredit to divest some of its holdings, and to shore up its balance sheet.  In July, the company agreed to sell its 32.8 percent stake in Pekao bank in Poland to state-owned insurance group PZU for around $2.6bn. UniCredit also sold a 30 percent stake in FinecoBank SpA in October for around £2bn.

UniCredit, under the leadership of the new chief executive Jean Pierre Mustier, is expected to launch a new share sale this week, with the hope of raising around €13bn. UniCredit’s recent financial difficulties are allegorical of the wider Italian banking sector, which has been experiencing considerable difficulty for some time.

Through the acquisition of Pioneer, which manages around £186bn worth of assets, Amundi expects to generate around €150m in full-year cost synergies within three years as it merges investment platforms and streamlines support functions. The company also expects the acquisition to boost its revenue by €30m.

News: France's Amundi to buy Pioneer from UniCredit for 3.6 billion euros

Digital disruption driving deals

BY Richard Summerfield

2017 is likely to see increased mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity in the media and entertainment (M&E) sector, according to EY’s latest Media & Entertainment Capital Confidence Barometer, released earlier this week.

Much of the dealmaking activity in the M&E space in the coming year will be likely be driven, in part, by digital disruption and convergence. The emergence of digital disruption and sector blurring in particular has proved a key driver of recent dealmaking in the M&E space, with 31 percent of the executives surveyed by EY citing convergence as the biggest disrupter in the industry of late. Increasingly, companies are expanding into previously uncharted territory. Sixty-seven percent saw digital disruption as the main catalyst for deal aking in the coming year.

In a statement announcing the report, John Harrison, EY's Global Media & Entertainment Leader, Transaction Advisory Services, said, “Unprecedented, unrelenting advances in technology and the swift emergence of new platforms and services are driving change in consumer behaviours, upending long-standing media ecosystems and blurring sector lines. Companies are aggressively seeking the innovation needed to position for future success and are looking to acquisitions, alliances and joint ventures to catalyse transformation.”

Despite the political and economic uncertainty permeating the globe, there is an underlying confidence in the M&E industry, particularly when it comes to dealmaking. In spite of persistent macroeconomic challenges, 73 percent of respondents perceived the global economy as stable or improving.

From a dealmaking perspective, 85 percent of respondents expressed confidence in the quality of acquisition opportunities available to M&E companies in the year to come. Furthermore, 94 percent of respondents claimed they had stable to positive confidence in the likelihood of closing a deal in 2017. More than half of respondents (56 percent) claimed that they expect their company to actively pursue an acquisition in the next 12 months, up from 46 percent in July 2016. Forty-eight percent said they have five or more deals in the pipeline.

Cross-border dealmaking is likely to be particularly prevalent in 2017, with 42 percent of executives claiming that their companies will be targeting a cross-border acquisition in the coming year. The US, France, the UK, Germany and China are the top five most likely destinations. The UK was the most sought after investment destination in EY’s previous report.

Report: Media & Entertainment Capital Confidence Barometer