Digital disruption drives deals – EY

BY Richard Summerfield

The digital revolution of the last few years has had a significant impact on almost all facets of our daily life. Smart phones, cloud computing and Big Data have integrated into our daily routines almost seamlessly, and it is for that reason that the digital transformation of businesses has become such a valuable development.

This emerging reliance of mobile, cloud and Big Data technology is significant for many reasons, not least of which is the manner in which it is helping to drive mergers and acquisitions in the technology space. According to a new report from EY, 'Capital Confidence Barometer – Technology', companies are turning to cloud and mobile technology as they look to remain relevant in an increasingly competitive and demanding industry. EY’s data suggests that to the end of October the value of tech related M&A deals was $396.4bn; as such, the record of $412.4bn worth of tech deals announced in 2000 is likely to have been exceeded by the end of the year.

The impressive pace of M&A driven deals is also unlikely to slow going forward, according to EY. Forty-five percent of the technology executives surveyed for the report noted that they intend to pursue deals in 2016; this number is higher than in the last three surveys carried out by EY in the third quarter of the year.

Thirty-four percent of respondents will look outside of their own sector. Thirty-seven percent believe that ‘digital future’ – EY’s term to describe the disruption of all areas of enterprise caused by technology – is the most important driver in M&A deals today.

Jeff Liu, Global Technology Industry Leader, Transaction Advisory Services at EY, said, "As the overall M&A market hits its stride, the technology sector has continued to shatter M&A records from one quarter to the next. While digital disruption is not a new story, we have clearly entered a new chapter in its impact on M&A. It is one in which the customer is becoming a more digitally empowered protagonist. Changing customer behaviour is driving technology company acquisitions of non-technology companies — and vice versa."

Given the increasing confidence in the global economy, tech companies are feeling bullish about completing further deals in the year ahead. Though many tech executives are concerned about lingering geopolitical difficulties and their effect on the wider global economy, they will not be put off pursuing deals. With companies willing to commit 60 percent of their available capital to growth in 2016, the deals will keep coming.

Report: Capital Confidence Barometer — Technology

Property price growth rate drops - report

BY Richard Summerfield

Property price growth rates have slowed in many of the world’s major city markets, according a new report from Knight Frank and EY.

In recent years, affordability has become a problem, limiting price growth. The report, entitled 'Global Tax Report 2015', examines holding and selling costs for overseas buyers of prime residential property between 2010 and 2015. According to the data, the slower rate of price growth in most major markets has made transaction costs and taxation increasingly important factors for investors.

“When purchasing property as an investment, tax is not necessarily the first concern but it is important because it is often the after-tax return that measures the success of the investment," said Carolyn Steppler, private client tax services partner at EY, UK & Ireland. "Our research shows that the tax burden across the cities in this report varies considerably both in amount and extent,” she added.

The joint report examines non-tax purchase, management and sale costs across 15 leading global cities, highlighting considerable variations. For example, international investors hoping to acquire property overseas can get the lowest costs in Shanghai. Monaco offers the lowest level of taxation when purchasing property valued between $1m and $10m.

The cost of UK tax equates to around 9.7 percent and 20.7 percent for $1m and $10m properties respectively. Taxation governing residential property in the UK and London specifically has changed considerably over the last two years. In December 2014, progressive stamp duty land tax rates were introduced, and in April 2015 the taxation of capital gains on the disposal of property by non-resident owners was also introduced. Potential alterations to inheritance tax in the UK could also impact activity as certain property investment structures will become much less attractive to investors. However, London’s position as an economic and cultural powerhouse will help maintain the city's lustre for international investors.

Cities where property costs are highest include Paris, Berlin and Geneva, with costs for a $10m property can exceed 10 percent.

Report: Global Tax Report 2015

Volatile global markets leave financial services sector in business volume slowdown

BY Fraser Tennant

Volatile global markets are having a marked effect on the financial services sector with business volumes slowing from July to September, according to the latest CBI/PwC Financial Services Survey.

Strong competition is being blamed for the slowdown, with financial services firms taking a big hit on fees & commissions, net interest, investment and trading income.

Despite this impact on income growth, the overall business situation is viewed as stable, with profitability still growing, albeit at a significantly slower rate than that seen in recent years.

The Survey’s key findings include: (i) 25 percent of financial services firms reporting that business volumes were up, while 21 percent said they were down (the slowest rate of growth seen since September 2013); (ii) 24 percent of firms expecting business volumes to increase, while 8 percent believe they will fall; and (iii) 28 percent of financial services firms stating that they felt more optimistic about the overall business situation compared with three months ago, while 26 percent said they felt less optimistic (the lowest rate of growth since September 2012).

“The winds of volatility blowing through global markets have left a clear mark on the financial services sector, impacting business volumes and investment intentions, particularly in investment management and securities trading," said Rain Newton-Smith, director of economics at the CBI.

“Nevertheless, building societies’ business volumes have rebounded, and with financial sector costs under control, profitability is in good shape. At the same time, investment in IT is set to increase as firms aim to improve efficiency.”

Mr Newton-Smith also points out that slower growth in China and other emerging markets has had a knock-on impact on confidence in the world economy, with the Federal Reserve holding off raising interest rates in the United States.

Kevin Burrowes, PwC’s UK financial services leader, added: “Business confidence among banks flat-lined in the quarter leading to September 2015, leaving the sector cautious over its short-term outlook. Recent macro-economic events such as the fall in oil prices, China’s Black Monday, and the ongoing turmoil in global stock markets might have fuelled this sentiment. With interest rates expected to remain on hold, growth for UK banks continues to be challenging.”

Challenging for sure, but the outlook for the financial services sector is encouraging with growth forecast to pick up over the coming months (keeping pace with business volumes in  life insurance, building societies and securities trading), although still well short of the growth levels seen in early 2015.

Report: CBI/PwC Financial Services Survey – September 2015

Volkswagen chief quits as emissions gloom gathers

BY Richard Summerfield

Volkswagen’s chief executive, Martin Winterkorn, announced his resignation yesterday in light of the increasing scandal around the German car manufacturer’s rigging of emission tests in the US.

Mr Winterkorn’s resignation was a long time coming. Analysts had expected his departure from the firm as soon as the news broke, but Mr Winterkorn remained in his position until Wednesday, only tendering his resignation following an emergency board meeting in the company’s native Germany.

“I am shocked by the events of the past few days. Above all, I am stunned that misconduct on such a scale was possible in the Volkswagen Group” said Mr Winterkorn is a statement released at the conclusion of the meeting. “As CEO I accept responsibility for the irregularities that have been found in diesel engines and have therefore requested the Supervisory Board to agree on terminating my function as CEO of the Volkswagen Group. I am doing this in the interests of the company even though I am not aware of any wrongdoing on my part. Volkswagen needs a fresh start - also in terms of personnel. I am clearing the way for this fresh start with my resignation.”

Volkswagen also vowed to prosecute those individuals responsible for the scheme to cheat US anti-pollution testing, though the company has not yet stated how many people were involved or whether their identities are known. A special investigative subcommittee has been established by Volkswagen in order to establish the facts of the case.

Volkswagen has championed diesel vehicles in both Europe and the US. Diesel engines account for just three percent of new cars sold in the US, compared to around half in Europe. Better fuel economy and lower carbon emissions have proven to be key selling points for Volkswagen and the wider automotive industry, however the suggestion that the German manufacturer – and possibly other firms – utilised ‘defeat devices’ to beat emissions tests could have long-term repercussions.

To date, Volkswagen has recalled nearly half a million vehicles in the US alone, setting aside around $7bn to cover costs. However, should it be required to modify the 11 million vehicles worldwide that are believed to have the software responsible for the falsified figures, $7bn would be grossly inadequate. Furthermore, Volkswagen could face fines of more than $18bn from the US Environmental Protection Agency. In addition to the internal probe launched by the company, the US Department of Justice has also launched a criminal investigation that could result in indictments against Volkswagen executives.

News: Volkswagen boss quits over diesel scandal

Schlumberger and Cameron agree $14.8bn merger

BY Richard Summerfield

Given the current volatility in commodities, it is little surprise that we are beginning to see more M&A activity in the oil and gas space. To that end, Schlumberger Ltd announced this week its agreement to acquire Cameron International Corp in a deal worth around $14.8bn, including the assumption of debt.

Under the terms of the deal, Cameron shareholders will receive 0.716 Schlumberger shares and a cash payment of $14.44. According to a statement released by the two firms, the agreement places a value of $66.36 per Cameron share, a premium of 37 percent to Cameron’s 20 day volume weighted average price of $48.45 per share. The deal has been approved by the board of directors at both firms. Pending shareholder, regulatory and other closing conditions, the transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2016.

Regulatory approval could pose an issue for the two companies. In November, Schlumberger's two closest rivals - Halliburton Co and Baker Hughes Inc - agreed to merge in an effort to lower costs in a pressurised market, but the deal was blocked by antitrust authorities in the US. However, the fact that there is little crossover between the services offered by Schlumberger and Cameron may allay any regulatory concerns.

The acquisition of Cameron is an important one for Schlumberger, given the company’s standing as one of the world’s largest producers of energy equipment. In the statement, Paal Kibsgaard, chairman and chief executive of Schlumberger, noted, “This agreement with Cameron opens new and broader opportunities for Schlumberger. At our investor conference in June 2014, we highlighted how the E&P industry must transform to deliver increased performance at a time of range-bound commodity prices. With oil prices now at lower levels, oilfield services companies that deliver innovative technology and greater integration while improving efficiency, which our customers increasingly demand, will outperform the market.”

The proposed merger of the two companies is not the first time they have been associated. In 2012 the firms established a joint venture – OneSubsea - to target the deepwater industry. OneSubsea is a supplier of heavy duty machinery which allows Big Oil firms to control the flows of oil and gas they find and bring it to the surface.

The acquisition of Cameron is expected to help Schlumberger achieve significant synergies, by lowering operating costs, streamlining supply chains and improving manufacturing processes.

Jack Moore, chairman and chief executive of Cameron, said, “This exciting transaction builds on our successful partnership with Schlumberger on OneSubsea and will position Cameron for its next phase of growth. For our shareholders, this combination provides significant value, while also enabling them to own a meaningful share of Schlumberger. Together, we will create a premier oilfield equipment and service company with an integrated and expanded platform to drive accelerated growth. By bringing together Cameron and Schlumberger, we will be uniting two great companies with successful track records, performance and value creation.  We look forward to working closely with Schlumberger to achieve a seamless post-closing integration and long term value for all of our stakeholders.”

News: Schlumberger to buy oilfield gear maker Cameron in $14.8bn deal